ESL One Cologne 2015 Mirage Souvenir Package

Standard weapon container opening odds (Valve disclosure)

Same published odds for normal CS2 weapon containers; special collections may differ.

• Mil-Spec (blue)79.92%
• Restricted (purple)15.98%
• Classified (pink)3.2%
• Covert (red)0.64%
• Rare special item (gold)0.26%

Expected value & ROI (model)

Per opening: published Valve odds by tier, equal chance among each FN skin listed in that tier, BRL Steam prices. Skins without a price count as R$0. Knives and gloves use the rare-special tier. Not financial advice.

Expected value

R$ 766,64

Cost (container + key)

R$ 416,50

ROI (expected)

+84.1%

Return multiple

1.84×